Technical Details of the National Survey

FILIPINO 2040

Aspirations, Values and Principles of Filipino People

  1. 1 Background of the Study

    • 1.1 Rationale
    • 1.2 Objective

  2. 2 Research Approach

    • 2.1 Methodology
    • 2.2 Target respondents
    • 2.3 Sampling
    • 2.4 Sample sizes and survey areas
    • 2.5 Margin of error
    • 2.6 Response rate

  3. 3 Questionnaire

  4. 4 Technical Notes

    • 4.1 Socio-economic class
    • 4.2 Significance test
  • 1 Background of the Study
    1. 1.1 Rationale

      2. The National Economic and Development Authority (NEDA) is developing a long-term vision for the Philippines and the Filipino people, which is envisioned to be a basis of unity among Filipinos, a guide for development planning across administrations, as well as for international development assistance for the next 25 years. It is also intended to be a useful reference that should influence electoral platforms and that should set the terms of debate in 2016 and beyond. The national long-term vision intends to help successive administrations remain focused on the country’s long-term goals, even as they respond to short- and medium-term needs and conditions. This can be achieved by ensuring that the national vision is genuinely owned by citizens who will reach their peak productive years between 2015 and 2040, and who will oblige government officials to stay on the course towards long-term development.
      To ensure widespread stakeholder engagement, a national survey is deemed important that will capture the aspirations, values and principles of the Filipino people.

    2. 1.2 Objective

      3. The survey research intends to solicit responses that reflect the aspirations, values and principles of the Filipino people.

  • 2 Research Approach
    1. 2.1 Methodology

      2. Face-to-face personal interviews with the use of tablets
      With two (2) valid call backs – one during weekday, one during weekend

    2. 2.2 Target respondents

      3. Males/ Females, 15-50 years old, from ABCDE income homes

    3. 2.3 Sampling

      4. Multi-stage area probability sampling

      • STAGE 1:
        • The Philippines is divided into the 18 geographical regions. Using the 2010 Census of Population projected to 2015*, the sample size will be distributed proportionately across regions to ensure a well-represented sample that reflects nationwide proportions.
      • STAGE 2:
        • Each specific region is then represented by different provinces from its domain. Proportionate sampling will also be employed to all provinces for a more accurate coverage (except for Batanes which has a considerably low population). The urban and rural split from the Philippine National Statistical Coordination Board (NSCB) definition will be followed for each province within each specific region to mirror the urban-rural proportions nationwide.
      • Based on NSCB definition, “urban” areas fall under the following categories:
        1. In their entirety, all municipal jurisdictions which, whether designated chartered cities, provincial capital or not, have a population density of at least 1,000 persons per square kilometer: all barangays;
        2. Poblacions or central districts of municipalities and cities which have a population density of at least 500 persons per square kilometer;
        3. Poblacions or central districts not included in (1) and (2) regardless of the population size which have the following:
          • street pattern or network of streets in either parallel or right angel orientation;
          • at least six establishments (commercial, manufacturing, recreational and/or personal services)
          • at least three of the following: a town hall, church or chapel with religious service at least once a month; a public plaza, park or cemetery; a market place, or building, where trading activities are carried on at least once a week; or a public building, like a school, hospital, periculture and health center or library.
        4. Barangays having at least 1,000 inhabitants which meet the conditions set forth in (3) above and where the occupation of the inhabitants is predominantly non-farming or fishing.
      • Sample sizes and survey areas

        • A total of 10,000 interviews in Nationwide Urban/ Rural areas. Breakdown of which is on the next two pages.

          CENSUS 2010 PROJECTED 2015 SPOTS INTERVIEWS
          TOTAL Urban Keycities Towns RURAL TOTAL Urban Keycities Towns RURAL TOTAL Urban Keycities Towns RURAL
            46% 33% 13% 54%   46% 33% 13% 54%   46% 33% 13% 54%
        Total Philippines 101,699,001 46,696,162 33,234,840 13,461,322 55,002,839 1,000 462 330 132 538 10,000 4,620 3,300 1,320 5,380
        NCR 12,989,298 12,989,298 12,989,298 0 0 128 128 128 0 0 1,280 1,280 1,280 0 0
        CAR 1,760,832 470,449 362,895 107,554 1,290,383 17 5 4 1 12 170 50 40 10 120
        BENGUET 804,959 404,485 304,030 100,454 400,474 9 4 3 1 5 90 40 30 10 50
        KALINGA 216,981 43,334 43,334 0 173,647 3 1 1 0 2 30 10 10 0 20
        IFUGAO 207,779 2,495 2,495 0 205,284 3 0 0 0 3 30 0 0 0 30
        MOUNTAIN PROVINCE 161,411 9,125 3,172 5,953 152,286 2 0 0 0 2 20 0 0 0 20
        REGION 1 5,049,265 640,962 374,072 266,890 4,408,303 50 6 4 2 44 500 60 40 20 440
        PANGASINAN 2,971,172 503,545 283,925 219,620 2,467,627 29 5 3 2 24 290 50 30 20 240
        LA UNION 787,891 91,484 54,599 36,886 696,407 8 1 1 0 7 80 10 10 0 70
        ILOCOS SUR 693,210 18,154 12,393 5,761 675,056 7 0 0 0 7 70 0 0 0 70
        ILOCOS NORTE 596,992 27,779 23,156 4,623 569,213 6 0 0 0 6 60 0 0 0 60
        REGION 2 3,460,194 400,466 243,243 157,223 3,059,728 34 4 3 1 30 340 40 30 10 300
        ISABELA 1,602,401 241,226 157,165 84,061 1,361,175 16 3 2 1 13 160 30 20 10 130
        CAGAYAN 1,196,851 97,760 70,695 27,065 1,099,091 12 1 1 0 11 120 10 10 0 110
        NUEVA VIZCAYA 451,465 47,496 6,992 40,503 403,969 4 0 0 0 4 40 0 0 0 40
        QUIRINO 192,806 12,312 6,718 5,594 180,494 2 0 0 0 2 20 0 0 0 20
        REGION 3 11,275,841 5,859,121 2,504,360 3,354,762 5,416,720 111 58 25 33 53 1,110 580 250 330 530
        BULACAN 3,346,017 2,372,843 814,241 1,558,602 973,174 32 23 18 15 9 320 230 180 150 90
        PAMPANGA 2,609,406 1,609,716 842,112 767,604 999,690 25 15 8 7 10 250 150 80 70 100
        NUEVA ECIJA 2,122,103 578,991 306,635 272,357 1,543,112 21 6 3 3 15 210 60 30 30 150
        TARLAC 1,389,299 481,554 208,333 273,221 907,745 14 5 2 3 9 140 50 20 30 90
        ZAMBALES 829,307 427,318 265,210 162,109 401,989 9 5 3 2 4 90 50 30 20 40
        BATAAN 763,137 367,096 51,639 315,456 396,041 8 4 1 3 4 80 40 10 30 40
        AURORA 216,572 21,603 16,191 5,412 194,969 2 0 0 0 2 20 0 0 0 20
        REGION 4A 14,708,207 8,897,516 4,603,595 4,293,921 5,810,691 145 88 46 42 57 1450 880 460 420 570
        CAVITE 3,782,042 2,388,305 1,462,857 925,448 1,393,737 38 24 15 9 14 380 240 150 90 140
        LAGUNA 3,111,647 2,235,826 1,574,483 661,342 875,821 31 22 16 6 9 310 220 160 60 90
        RIZAL 2,997,116 2,779,410 815,547 1,963,863 217,706 29 27 8 19 2 290 270 80 190 20
        BATANGAS 2,655,862 867,775 492,630 375,145 1,788,087 26 9 5 4 17 260 90 50 40 170
        QUEZON 2,161,540 626,200 258,078 368,122 1,535,340 21 6 2 4 15 210 60 20 40 150
        REGION 4B 3,006,262 685,617 221,298 464,319 2,320,645 29 7 2 5 22 290 70 20 50 220
        PALAWAN 1,141,067 383,675 162,569 221,105 757,392 11 4 2 2 7 110 40 20 20 70
        ORIENTAL MINDORO 843,402 88,481 26,320 62,161 754,921 8 1 0 1 7 80 10 0 10 70
        OCCIDENTAL MINDORO 494,260 209,107 28,055 181,053 285,153 5 2 0 2 3 50 20 0 20 30
        ROMBLON 294,300 2,726 2,726 0 291,574 3 0 0 0 3 30 0 0 0 30
        MARINDUQUE 233,233 1,628 1,628 0 231,605 2 0 0 0 2 20 0 0 0 20
        REGION 5 5,829,362 894,271 577,019 317,253 4,935,091 57 9 6 3 48 570 90 60 30 480
        CAMARINES SUR 1,974,844 382,675 266,780 115,895 1,592,169 20 4 3 1 16 200 40 30 10 160
        ALBAY 1,311,177 239,413 145,442 93,971 1,071,764 13 3 2 1 10 130 30 20 10 100
        MASBATE 906,264 80,363 50,355 30,008 825,901 8 0 0 0 8 80 0 0 0 80
        SORSOGON 790,550 67,545 50,543 17,001 723,005 7 0 0 0 7 70 0 0 0 70
        CAMARINES NORTE 583,147 117,131 57,513 59,618 466,016 7 2 1 1 5 70 20 10 10 50
        CATANDUANES 263,380 7,144 6,385 759 256,236 2 0 0 0 2 20 0 0 0 20
        REGION 6 4,500,638 616,495 439,472 177,023 3,884,143 44 6 4 2 38 440 60 40 40 380
        ILOILO 2,400,413 318,195 245,950 72,245 2,082,218 23 3 2 1 20 230 30 20 10 20
        CAPIZ 754,900 140,313 113,279 27,034 614,587 7 1 1 0 6 70 10 10 0 60
        ANTIQUE 586,783 44,482 22,756 21,726 542,301 5 0 0 0 5 50 0 0 0 50
        AKLAN 583,697 105,456 50,705 54,751 478,241 7 2 1 1 5 70 20 10 10 50
        GUIMARAS 174,845 8,049 6,782 1,267 166,796 2 0 0 0 2 20 0 0 0 20
        REGION 7 6,067,090 2,873,736 2,279,594 594,142 3,193,354 59 28 22 6 31 590 280 220 600 310
        CEBU 4,653,710 2,731,575 2,187,572 544,003 1,922,135 45 26 21 5 19 450 260 210 50 190
        BOHOL 1,317,194 137,481 90,337 47,144 1,179,713 14 2 1 1 12 140 20 10 10 120
        REGION 8 4,372,452 381,297 266,977 114,320 3,991,155 43 4 3 1 39 430 40 30 10 390
        LEYTE 1,897,348 253,452 145,566 107,886 1,643,896 19 3 2 1 16 190 30 20 10 160
        SAMAR (WESTERN SAMAR) 784,235 75,297 74,316 981 708,938 8 1 1 0 7 80 10 10 0 70
        NORTHERN SAMAR 638,922 24,968 21,765 3,203 613,954 6 0 0 0 6 60 0 0 0 60
        EASTERN SAMAR 458,166 5,619 5,619 0 452,547 4 0 0 0 4 40 0 0 0 40
        SOUTHERN LEYTE 420,120 13,864 11,614 2,250 406,256 4 0 0 0 4 40 0 0 0 40
        BILIRAN 173,661 8,096 8,096 0 165,565 2 0 0 0 2 20 0 0 0 20
        REGION 18 (NEGROS ISLAND REGION) 4,469,220 2,427,307 1,890,409 536,898 2,041,913 45 24 19 5 21 450 240 190 50 210
        NEGROS OCCIDENTAL 3,096,040 2,013,404 1,607,904 405,500 1,082,636 31 20 16 4 11 310 200 160 40 110
        NEGROS ORIENTAL 1,373,180 413,903 282,505 131,398 959,277 14 4 3 1 10 140 40 30 10 100
        REGION 9 3,743,794 1,279,531 1,088,026 191,505 2,464,263 37 13 11 2 24 370 130 110 20 240
        ZAMBOANGA DEL SUR 1,963,039 999,172 915,929 83,243 963,867 19 10 9 1 9 190 100 90 10 90
        ZAMBOANGA DEL NORTE 1,033,561 147,720 110,326 37,394 885,841 10 1 1 0 9 100 10 10 0 90
        ZAMBOANGA SIBUGAY 633,916 101,870 31,003 70,868 532,046 6 1 0 1 5 60 10 0 10 50
        City of Isabela 113,278 30,769 30,769 0 82,509 2 1 1 0 1 20 10 10 0 10
        REGION 10 4,760,960 1,971,878 1,339,424 632,453 2,789,082 47 19 13 6 28 470 190 130 60 280
        MISAMIS ORIENTAL 1,588,311 868,872 667,869 201,003 719,439 16 9 7 2 7 160 90 70 20 70
        BUKIDNON 1,437,932 602,636 244,126 358,510 835,296 14 5 2 3 9 140 50 20 30 90
        LANAO DEL NORTE 1,032,653 389,149 325,273 63,876 643,504 11 4 3 1 7 110 40 30 10 70
        MISAMIS OCCIDENTAL 613,019 96,034 86,970 9,064 516,985 6 1 1 0 5 60 10 10 0 5
        REGION 11 4,929,980 2,933,349 2,051,011 882,338 1,996,631 48 29 20 9 19 480 290 200 90 190
        DAVAO DEL SUR 2,243,660 1,653,637 1,520,225 133,412 590,023 22 16 15 1 6 220 160 150 10 60
        DAVAO DEL NORTE 1,066,396 681,255 410,056 271,199 385,141 11 7 4 3 4 110 70 40 30 40
        COMPOSTELA VALLEY 747,994 322,659 36,814 285,844 425,335 7 3 0 3 4 70 30 0 30 40
        DAVAO ORIENTAL 557,622 196,447 83,915 112,532 361,175 5 2 1 1 3 50 20 10 10 30
        DAVAO OCCIDENTAL 314,308 79,351 0 79,351 234,957 3 1 0 1 2 30 10 0 10 20
        REGION 12 4,650,574 2,176,107 1,299,255 876,852 2,474,467 46 22 13 9 24 460 220 130 90 240
        TOTAL COTABATO 1,737,029 634,653 370,867 263,786 1,102,376 18 7 4 3 11 180 70 40 30 110
        COTABATO (NORTH COTABATO) 1,387,004 331,187 67,401 263,786 1,055,817 15 4 1 3 11 150 40 10 30 110
        COTABATO CITY 350,025 303,466 303,466 0 46,559 3 3 3 0 0 30 30 30 0 0
        SOUTH COTABATO 1,520,323 1,039,943 718,468 321,475 480,380 15 10 7 3 5 150 100 70 30 50
        SULTAN KUDARAT 843,201 286,965 148,259 138,707 556,236 7 2 1 1 5 70 20 10 10 50
        SARANGANI 550,021 214,546 61,662 152,885 335,475 6 3 1 2 3 60 30 10 20 30
        CARAGA 2,615,503 717,554 480,104 237,451 1,897,949 26 7 5 2 19 260 70 50 20 190
        AGUSAN DEL SUR 710,989 192,739 70,048 122,691 518,250 7 2 1 1 5 70 20 10 10 50
        AGUSAN DEL NORTE 692,029 252,701 218,353 34,348 439,328 7 2 2 0 5 70 20 20 0 50
        SURIGAO DEL SUR 593,359 157,216 96,898 60,318 436,143 7 2 1 1 5 70 20 10 10 50
        SURIGAO DEL NORTE 481,036 106,330 89,048 17,281 374,706 5 1 1 0 4 50 10 10 0 40
        ARMM 3,509,529 481,206 224,788 256,418 3,028,323 34 5 2 3 29 340 50 20 30 290
        MAGUINDANAO 1,025,776 168,259 17,656 150,603 857,517 14 2 0 2 12 140 20 0 20 120
        LANAO DEL SUR 1,007,865 41,892 37,483 4,409 965,973 14 1 1 0 13 140 10 10 0 130
        TAWI-TAWI 390,810 65,793 35,588 30,205 325,017 6 2 1 1 4 60 20 10 10 40
        1. Risk Areas: Abra, Sulu, Basilan
          Given that Abra from CAR and Basilan and Sulu from ARMM were considered critical areas, sample for these areas were proportionately redistributed among the remaining provinces within their respective regions under the assumption that provinces within regions are in some ways homogeneous in their physical, demographical, and political characteristics. In doing this redistribution, we will be able to preserve the general profile of the region where they belong.
        2. Small Population Size: Apayao, Batanes, Siquijor, Camiguin, Dinagat Islands Provinces with small population such as Apayao (CAR), Batanes (Region 2), Siquijor (Region 7), Camiguin (Region 10), and Dinagat Islands (CARAGA) were also not included in the sample. All of which have population of 150,000 or less and the small population does not merit inclusion in the sampling distribution given the proportionate sampling method. Same as with the provinces that were considered critical, spots were re-allocated to the other provinces within their respective regions.
      • Margin of error

        • Margin of error for Total read is +/- 0.98%. Corresponding MOE for each area of interest follows:

          BASE (n) MOE (+/- %)
        TOTAL PHILS. 10000 0.98
        Urban 4620 1.44
        Rural 5380 1.34
        LUZON (NET) 5710 1.30
        NCR 1280 2.74
        CAR 170 7.52
        REGION 1 500 4.38
        REGION 2 340 5.31
        REGION 3 1110 2.94
        REGION 4A 1450 2.57
        REGION 4B 290 5.75
        REGION 5 570 4.10
        VISAYAS (NET) 1910 2.24
        REGION 6 440 4.67
        REGION 7 590 4.03
        REGION 8 430 4.73
        REGION 18 450 4.62
        MINDANAO (NET) 2380 2.01
        REGION 9 370 5.09
        REGION 10 470 4.52
        REGION 11 480 4.47
        REGION 12 460 4.57
        CARAGA 260 6.08
        ARMM 340 5.31
      • Summarized in Table 3 are the final result of the total sampled households. It shows that to achieve the 10,000 completed interviews, 20,406 households were knocked. Of the 20,406 households knocked, 4,362 gave no reply or door locked and 1,831 were not eligible primarily because no household member fits the age requirement. The response rate among eligible interviews was 70.4%.
      TOTAL
    20,406 
    A. COMPLETED INTERVIEWS 10,000
    B. ELIGIBLE, NON-INTERVIEW 4,213
    B1. Outright refusal 4,213
    C. UNKNOWN ELIGIBILITY, NON-INTERVIEW 4,362
    C1. No reply 2,718
    C2. Door/ Gate locked 1,644
    D. NOT ELIGIBLE 1,831
    D1. Terminate – Not permanent HH member (Maid only, Boarder only) 68
    D2. Terminate – Company affiliation 478
    D3. Terminate – Age (over/ under age) 1,285
    RESPONSE RATE [A/(A+B)] 70.4%
  • Questionnaire

    • This outlines the general structure of the questionnaire.

    SCREENER

    MAIN QUESTIONNAIRE

    Part A. Vision

    1. General Future
    2. Standard of Living
    3. Health
    4. Education
    5. Employment
    6. Urbanization
    7. Economy
    8. Justice and Governance
    9. Peace and Security
    10. Cultural Diversity

      11. Part B. Present Situation B1. Standard of Living B2. Health

      1. Education B4. Employment
      2. Justice and Governance B6. Peace and Security
      3. Poverty and Hunger
  • Technical Notes
    • 4.1 Socio-economic class

    In analyzing the results, the respondents were grouped based on their socio-economic status. This classification was based on the market research industry’s (Marketing and Opinion Research Society of the Philippines, MORES) standards.
    Seven factors were considered in classifying socio-economic status:

    1. Durability of the home
    2. Indoor quality: House maintenance
    3. Neighborhood: Location of the house
    4. Education of the Household Head
    5. Occupation of the Household Head
    6. Facilities of the house
    7. Estimated household monthly income
      8. factors AB upper c broad c d e
      Durability of Home Heavy high quality materials (concrete, wood and concrete, or first class wood, bricks) Permanent Of good quality materials (wood and concrete or first class wood); generally permanent Of mixed light and heavy materials, semi-permanent Of light and cheap materials, poorly constructed; semi-permanent Temporary structure barong-barong type or a poorly constructed one room affair
      Indoor quality: house maintenance Well-painted; not in need of repair Well-painted but may need a new coat of paint and some minor repairs Painted but need new coat of paint and need some repairs Generally unpainted and badly in need of repair Unpainted and dilapidated
      Neighborhood: Location of the house Located in an exclusive subdivision/expensive neighborhood, enclaves. Townhouses and condominiums. If in mixed neighborhood it must have a fence, at least Maybe found in mixed neighborhood of larger and smaller houses, with predominantly larger houses Generally found in mixed neighborhood with houses larger or smaller than it Found mostly in neihborhoods of houses with generally the same size, with occasional large houses Located generally slum district interior or rural houses
      Education of the household head Graduate of exclusive colleges and universities including university of the philippines Graduate of state colleges and universities Some college education but did not graduate/technical training/vocational Some high school education Elementary school graduate or less
      Occupation of household head Moderate to big businessman, top executive. Mayve established or approaching a senior executive level or a professional. Middle to senior national regional or city official Junior executive or a young professional with moderate to high net value. Maybe approaching a senior executive level or a professional. He may be a provincial town official Maybe a young/starting professional or semi professional or a middle level supervisor. Small businessman or small farm-owner, technical or skilled overseas worker. Generally a skilled or white collar worker Lowly paid white collar worker or skilled worker. Lowland farmer, tanant or foreman. Unskilled overseas worker. may have a small informal business Farmland, fisherman or unskilled worker, vendor. Not permanently employed or no regular income; engaged in odd jobs such as plumbing, repairs, masonry, etc.
      Facilities of the house More than 10 facilities, and has a new car (not more than 5 years old) 8-10 facilities, and has a car or a jeep > 10 with jeep >10 w/out jeep/car 5-7 facilities, with or without a car or jeep 8-10 w/out jeep/car 2-4 facilities 0-1 facility
      Estimated household monthly income A- Php 100,000 & up
      B- Php50 – 99,000      		 Php30,001 –
      Php50,000      		 Php15,001 –
      Php30,000      		 Php 8,001 –
      Php 15,000      		 Below Php 8,000
      Facilities considered: Running water, Electricity, Flush Toilet, Colored TV, Stereo CD, Home Entertainment System, VCD/DVD Player, Electric range, Cooking range with oven, Microwave oven, Refrigerator, Freezer, Aircon, Electric fan, Water heater installation, Vacuum cleaner, Floor polisher, Washing machine, Family computer, Personal computer/Laptop, Car/Jeep/Van, Landline/Cellphone, Internet Connection.
      *Source: The American Association for Public Opinion Research. 2015. Standard Definitions: Final Disposition Codes and Outcome Rates for Surveys.
    8. Significance test

      9. Significance test versus Average of the Remainder or Multiple Comparison Test was
      used.
      Formula:

      formula